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Cipla’s post-listing results cause jitters on Uganda bourse

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By BERNARD BUSUULWA
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Regional drug maker Cipla’s stock fell to a record low of Ush200 ($0.05) on the Uganda Securities Exchange on Christmas Eve, on the back of concerns by retail investors about the firm’s trading patterns, weak half-year results and uncertainty over its short-term business outlook.

Cipla Quality Chemical Industries Ltd’s share price has dropped below its initial public offering price of Ush256.5 ($0.069), from a high of Ush262 ($0.07) in September.

Trading volumes have been fairly low and retail investors fear there will be further declines in coming weeks.

Last month, the firm’s share price fell to Ush242 ($0.065) and to a further Ush230 ($0.062) in mid-December, according to the USE trading reports.

Many of the retail investors who participated in the IPO were reportedly new players in the market, and expected big gains in a short time.

Stockbrokers say the price decline has led to panic selling on the counter, with some retail investors eager to cut their losses while others wanted to raise cash for spending during the festive season.

“This counter has traded shares worth less than Ush150 million ($40,317) since the company was listed in September. Its IPO raised just Ush14 billion ($3.8 million) from local investors and attracted only 2,300 individuals most of whom are new to the stockmarket,” said a financial analyst at Crested Capital Ltd, the largest stockbroker in Uganda, by market share.

Around three per cent of retail investors serviced by Crested Capital Ltd participated in the Cipla IPO.

Industry sources said that the majority stayed away mainly because of poor marketing strategies adopted by the pharmaceutical company and its transaction partners.

Cipla’s maiden half-year results have partly diminished investor appetite for the company’s shares.

Total sales revenues increased to Ush84.2 billion ($22.6 million) as at the close of September 2018, from Ush71.4 billion ($19.2 million) in September 2017, financial statements show. Total sales rose to Ush51.7 billion ($13.9 million), from Ush42.3 billion ($11.3 million).

The company’s gross profit grew to Ush32.6 billion ($8.8 million) from Ush29 billion ($7.8 million) during the period under review.

Profit before tax rose to Ush3.3 billion ($886,964) from Ush1.9 billion ($510,676). The firm’s total assets increased to Ush243.6 billion ($65.5 million) from Ush209.2 billion ($56.2 million).

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In contrast, the company’s total revenues rose to $60.7 million in 2017, from $48.6 million in 2016, according to the investment analysis report issued prior to the IPO launch in September.

The firm’s profit after tax stood at $12.8 million in 2016, but dropped slightly to $12.1 million in 2017. The firm’s total revenue was projected to hit $70.2 million by the end of March 2019.

“The modest profits recorded in the first half of 2018/19 may have been driven by fluctuations in the government’s budget cycle,” said the analyst at Crested Capital Ltd.

“The company’s first half performance covers the period from July-September, which is characterised by low government spending. Subsequent quarters tend to experience higher government spending and this could boost the company’s revenue by the end of March 2019.”

Comments from company officials were not available by press time. However, notes accompanying the drug maker’s latest financial statement offer clues to the business performance.

“Company revenue showed double digit growth of 18.1 per cent, largely attributable to the new regional offtake agreement with Zambia, which contributed to Ush27.4 billion of H1 revenue.

This incremental business offset the impact of the significant reduction in sales funded by the Global Fund due to an overall reduction in donor funded malaria treatment purchases, this declining trend is likely to continue and will not reach the heights experienced in H2 2017/18…” reads the financial statement.

According to the statement, the low trading volume of Ush150 million ($40,311) is largely driven by the presence of a few, active retail investors on the counter while most of the institutional players are quietly holding onto their shares.

“Retail investors need some reassurance that they will not lose everything if they do not sell now,,” said the general manager at UAP-Old Mutual Financial Services Uganda Ltd, Simon Mwebaze.

The drug maker’s business outlook appears uncertain, with fund managers struggling to obtain growth forecasts for the company while there are few details on growth strategies offered by its executives.

George Mulindwa, general manager at GenAfrica Asset Managers Uganda, said that the limited information on the company’s performance makes it difficult to offer a credible outlook for the business.

Anti-malaria drugs contributed 60 per cent to the company’s total sales during the 2017/18 financial year, while antiretroviral drugs contributed 39.1 per cent to overall sales turnover.

Hepatitis B drugs contributed just 0.9 per cent to total product sales during the period under review, according to company data.

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Public officers above 58 years and with pre-existing conditions told to work from home: The Standard

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Head of Public Service Joseph Kinyua. [File, Standard]
In a document from Head of Public Service, Joseph Kinyua new measure have been outlined to curb the bulging spread of covid-19. Public officers with underlying health conditions and those who are over 58 years -a group that experts have classified as most vulnerable to the virus will be required to execute their duties from home.

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However, the new rule excluded personnel in the security sector and other critical and essential services.
“All State and public officers with pre-existing medical conditions and/or aged 58 years and above serving in CSG5 (job group ‘S’) and below or their equivalents should forthwith work from home,” read the document,” read the document.
To ensure that those working from home deliver, the Public Service directs that there be clear assignments and targets tasked for the period designated and a clear reporting line to monitor and review work done.
SEE ALSO: Thinking inside the cardboard box for post-lockdown work stations
Others measures outlined in the document include the provision of personal protective equipment to staff, provision of sanitizers and access to washing facilities fitted with soap and water, temperature checks for all staff and clients entering public offices regular fumigation of office premises and vehicles and minimizing of visitors except by prior appointments.
Officers who contract the virus and come back to work after quarantine or isolation period will be required to follow specific directives such as obtaining clearance from the isolation facility certified by the designated persons indicating that the public officer is free and safe from Covid-19. The officer will also be required to stay away from duty station for a period of seven days after the date of medical certification.
“The period a public officer spends in quarantine or isolation due to Covid-19, shall be treated as sick leave and shall be subject to the Provisions of the Human Resource Policy and procedures Manual for the Public Service(May,2016),” read the document.
The service has also made discrimination and stigmatization an offence and has guaranteed those affected with the virus to receive adequate access to mental health and psychosocial supported offered by the government.
The new directives targeting the Public Services come at a time when Kenyans have increasingly shown lack of strict observance of the issued guidelines even as the number of positive Covid-19 cases skyrocket to 13,771 and leaving 238 dead as of today.
SEE ALSO: Working from home could be blessing in disguise for persons with disabilities
Principal Secretaries/ Accounting Officers will be personally responsible for effective enforcement and compliance of the current guidelines and any future directives issued to mitigate the spread of Covid-19.

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Uhuru convenes summit to review rising Covid-19 cases: The Standard

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President Uhuru Kenyatta (pictured) will on Friday, July 24, meet governors following the ballooning Covid-19 infections in recent days.
The session will among other things review the efficacy of the containment measures in place and review the impact of the phased easing of the restrictions, State House said in a statement.
This story is being updated.
SEE ALSO: Sakaja resigns from Covid-19 Senate committee, in court tomorrow

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Drastic life changes affecting mental health

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Kenya has been ranked 6th among African countries with the highest cases of depression, this has triggered anxiety by the World Health Organization (WHO), with 1.9 million people suffering from a form of mental conditions such as depression, substance abuse.

KBC Radio_KICD Timetable

Globally, one in four people is affected by mental or neurological disorders at some point in their lives, this is according to the WHO.

Currently, around 450 million people suffer from such conditions, placing mental disorders among the leading causes of ill-health and disability worldwide.

The pandemic has also been known to cause significant distress, mostly affecting the state of one’s mental well-being.

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With the spread of the COVID-19 pandemic attributed to the novel Coronavirus disease, millions have been affected globally with over 14 million infections and half a million deaths as to date. This has brought about uncertainty coupled with difficult situations, including job loss and the risk of contracting the deadly virus.

In Kenya the first Coronavirus case was reported in Nairobi by the Ministry of Health on the 12th March 2020.  It was not until the government put in place precautionary measures including a curfew and lockdown (the latter having being lifted) due to an increase in the number of infections that people began feeling its effect both economically and socially.

A study by Dr. Habil Otanga,  a Lecturer at the University of Nairobi, Department of Psychology says  that such measures can in turn lead to surge in mental related illnesses including depression, feelings of confusion, anger and fear, and even substance abuse. It also brings with it a sense of boredom, loneliness, anger, isolation and frustration. In the post-quarantine/isolation period, loss of employment due to the depressed economy and the stigma around the disease are also likely to lead to mental health problems.

The Kenya National Bureau of Statistics (KNBS) states that at least 300,000 Kenyans have lost their jobs due to the Coronavirus pandemic between the period of January and March this year.

KNBC noted that the number of employed Kenyans plunged to 17.8 million as of March from 18.1 million people as compared to last year in December. The Report states that the unemployment rate in Kenya stands at 13.7 per cent as of March this year while it stood 12.4 per cent in December 2019.

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Mama T (not her real name) is among millions of Kenyans who have been affected by containment measures put in place to curb the spread of the virus, either by losing their source of income or having to work under tough guidelines put in place by the MOH.

As young mother and an event organizer, she has found it hard to explain to her children why they cannot go to school or socialize freely with their peers as before.

“Sometimes it gets difficult as they do not understand what is happening due to their age, this at times becomes hard on me as they often think I am punishing them,”

Her contract was put on hold as no event or public gatherings can take place due to the pandemic. This has brought other challenges along with it, as she has to find means of fending for her family expenditures that including rent and food.

“I often wake up in the middle of the night with worries about my next move as the pandemic does not exhibit any signs of easing up,” she says. She adds that she has been forced to sort for manual jobs to keep her family afloat.

Ms. Mary Wahome, a Counseling Psychologist and Programs Director at ‘The Reason to Hope,’ in Karen, Nairobi says that such kind of drastic life changes have an adverse effect on one’s mental status including their family members and if not addressed early can lead to depression among other issues.

“We have had cases of people indulging in substance abuse to deal with the uncertainty and stress brought about by the pandemic, this in turn leads to dependence and also domestic abuse,”

Sam Njoroge , a waiter at a local hotel in Kiambu, has found himself indulging in substance abuse due to challenges he is facing after the hotel he was working in was closed down as it has not yet met the standards required by the MOH to open.

“My day starts at 6am where I go to a local pub, here I can get a drink for as little as Sh30, It makes me suppress the frustration I feel.” he says.

Sam is among the many who have found themselves in the same predicament and resulted to substance abuse finding ways to beat strict measures put in place by the government on the sale of alcohol so as to cope.

Mary says, situations like Sam’s are dangerous and if not addressed early can lead to serious complications, including addiction and dependency, violent behavior and also early death due to health complications.

She has, however, lauded the government for encouraging mental wellness and also launching the Psychological First Aid (PFA) guide in the wake of the virus putting emphasis on the three action principal of look, listen and link. “When we follow this it will be easy to identify an individual in distress and also offer assistance”.

Mary has urged anyone feeling the weight of the virus taking a toll on them not to hesitate but look for someone to talk to.

“You should not only seek help from a specialist but also talk to a friend, let them know what you are undergoing and how you feel, this will help ease their emotional stress and also find ways of dealing with the situation they are facing,” She added

Mary continued to stress on the need to perform frequent body exercises as a form of stress relief, reading and also taking advantage of this unfortunate COVID-19 period to engage in hobbies and talent development.

“Let people take this as an opportunity to kip fit, get in touch with one’s inner self and  also engage in   reading that would  help expand their knowledge.

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